Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#104
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#111
Pace67.9#235
Improvement+4.4#21

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#149
First Shot-0.2#178
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#86
Layup/Dunks+0.2#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#117
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#121
Freethrows-2.8#330
Improvement+2.7#53

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#79
First Shot+2.9#84
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#85
Layups/Dunks+4.4#27
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#177
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#198
Freethrows-1.1#242
Improvement+1.7#82
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 147   @ Nebraska Omaha W 60-59 54%     1 - 0 +4.9 -18.9 +23.8
  Nov 16, 2015 23   @ California L 67-85 12%     1 - 1 -0.4 +0.3 +0.5
  Nov 21, 2015 57   Oregon St. L 59-71 44%     1 - 2 -5.5 -6.0 -0.4
  Nov 25, 2015 202   @ San Francisco W 68-61 67%     2 - 2 +7.3 +0.4 +7.8
  Nov 29, 2015 86   @ Arizona St. L 68-70 33%     2 - 3 +7.5 +3.2 +4.1
  Dec 03, 2015 41   USC L 63-75 38%     2 - 4 -4.0 -3.8 -0.8
  Dec 13, 2015 95   @ South Dakota St. L 68-86 36%     2 - 5 -9.3 +0.8 -10.5
  Dec 16, 2015 152   @ Vermont L 68-75 55%     2 - 6 -3.3 -2.1 -1.4
  Dec 21, 2015 99   Akron L 70-84 48%     2 - 7 -8.4 -4.1 -3.7
  Dec 22, 2015 101   Iona W 80-76 49%     3 - 7 +9.3 +3.9 +5.2
  Dec 28, 2015 56   @ Washington W 83-78 23%     4 - 7 +17.7 +8.4 +8.7
  Dec 30, 2015 292   @ Seattle W 88-50 84%     5 - 7 +32.3 +16.6 +16.1
  Jan 09, 2016 68   @ Hawaii L 57-65 28%     5 - 8 0 - 1 +3.1 -11.7 +15.1
  Jan 14, 2016 204   @ Cal Poly W 76-73 68%     6 - 8 1 - 1 +3.1 -2.5 +5.5
  Jan 16, 2016 98   UC Irvine L 52-61 59%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -6.3 -13.6 +6.6
  Jan 20, 2016 108   Long Beach St. L 67-77 64%     6 - 10 1 - 3 -8.6 +0.0 -9.3
  Jan 23, 2016 238   Cal St. Northridge W 74-61 88%     7 - 10 2 - 3 +5.5 -5.6 +10.3
  Jan 28, 2016 108   @ Long Beach St. L 70-80 OT 41%     7 - 11 2 - 4 -2.8 -8.8 +7.4
  Jan 30, 2016 98   @ UC Irvine W 76-60 36%     8 - 11 3 - 4 +24.5 +16.1 +9.9
  Feb 04, 2016 68   Hawaii L 64-76 49%     8 - 12 3 - 5 -6.8 -8.8 +2.8
  Feb 06, 2016 268   Cal St. Fullerton W 81-68 90%     9 - 12 4 - 5 +3.6 +3.4 +0.3
  Feb 11, 2016 235   @ UC Davis W 72-66 73%     10 - 12 5 - 5 +4.4 +10.3 -5.4
  Feb 18, 2016 234   @ UC Riverside W 65-55 73%     11 - 12 6 - 5 +8.6 -2.4 +11.7
  Feb 20, 2016 235   UC Davis W 62-55 87%     12 - 12 7 - 5 -0.4 -9.1 +8.6
  Feb 25, 2016 238   @ Cal St. Northridge W 78-63 74%     13 - 12 8 - 5 +13.3 -3.6 +15.1
  Feb 27, 2016 268   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 80-62 79%     14 - 12 9 - 5 +14.4 +9.8 +5.8
  Mar 03, 2016 234   UC Riverside W 81-55 87%     15 - 12 10 - 5 +18.7 +10.3 +9.9
  Mar 05, 2016 204   Cal Poly W 69-50 84%     16 - 12 11 - 5 +13.3 -3.8 +18.6
  Mar 10, 2016 235   UC Davis W 87-61 81%     17 - 12 +21.5 +20.4 +1.9
  Mar 11, 2016 68   Hawaii L 76-88 38%     17 - 13 -3.9 +3.4 -6.4
Projected Record 17.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%